A maritime security analyst warned on July 12 that the conflict between the United States and Iran around the Strait of Hormuz cannot be resolved by military means, and that continued fighting would only raise global fuel and food costs. Ian Ralby, a senior researcher at the Maritime Strategy Center and president of Auxilium Worldwide, said both sides still have reasons to keep pressing the confrontation: one is willing to continue fighting, while the other wants to keep degrading its opponent’s capabilities. In his view, that combination is a recipe for a prolonged conflict.
Ralby said the situation could turn the Strait of Hormuz into a lasting problem for international navigation. He added that parties affected by the conflict may try to push Washington and Tehran back toward diplomacy, but changing the current dynamic would be difficult because both sides are unpredictable and each has deeply rooted interests tied to what they define as success or victory. He also said the U.S. has a highly flexible concept of what victory looks like, while Iran now has a clear desire for some form of retaliation over what has happened, a mindset he said could feed a long-running violent confrontation.
BlockBeats reported on July 12 that Ian Ralby, a senior researcher at the Maritime Strategy Center and president of Auxilium Worldwide, warned that the war between the United States and Iran around the Strait of Hormuz cannot be solved through military means.
Ralby said ongoing fighting would only push up global fuel and food costs. In his words, one side is willing to keep fighting, while the other wants to continue undermining and weakening its opponent’s capabilities, which he described as a formula for a prolonged conflict.
He said this could leave the Strait of Hormuz facing a long-term problem as a navigable waterway. Parties affected by the conflict may press the U.S. and Iran to return to diplomacy, but he said changing the situation would be difficult because both sides are unpredictable and both have entrenched interests tied to ideas of success and victory.
Ralby also said the United States has a very flexible concept of what victory looks like. On the Iranian side, he said there is now a very clear desire for some form of retaliation over what has happened, an idea that could lead to a prolonged violent conflict.
This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan. Disclaimer:
The market information, project data, and third-party content displayed on this platform are for industry information sharing only and do not constitute any form of investment advice or return commitment.
Cryptocurrency trading carries high risks. Users should fully assess their risk tolerance and make independent decisions. All profits, losses, and legal responsibilities are borne by the users themselves.
