Bernstein expects annual trading volume in prediction markets to reach $10 trillion by 2035, according to The Block. The firm also projects that total volume will come in at $410 billion in 2026. In Bernstein’s forecast, crypto, equities and commodities will grow into a larger share of the market over time. Those three segments are expected to overtake sports and account for 49% of total prediction market trading volume by 2035. The projection points to a market structure that would be less dominated by sports-related activity and more weighted toward financial and macro-linked contracts. The figures cited in the report were attributed to Bernstein through The Block.
Bernstein expects annual trading volume in prediction markets to reach $10 trillion by 2035, according to The Block.
The firm projects total prediction market volume at $410 billion in 2026. It also expects crypto, equities and commodities to surpass sports as a category, with those segments making up 49% of total trading volume by 2035.
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