Bitcoin Options Market Sends Mixed Signals: Call Options at 58% as Price Holds Near $78K

Bitcoin Options Market Sends Mixed Signals: Call Options at 58% as Price Holds Near $78K

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News Editor 01
2026-07-08 15:34:12
Bitcoin options open interest rebounds to $30B with 58% calls vs 42% puts. Price hovers at $78,418, near Deribit’s $78K max pain. CME leads OI growth; a whale withdraws 1,051 BTC from Binance as US spot ETFs see $630M inflows.
BitcoinOptionsOpen InterestMax PainWhale

On May 2, the Bitcoin derivatives market is flashing mixed signals as open interest in options climbs back toward $30 billion, with call options maintaining a 58.69% share versus 41.31% for puts. Bitcoin traded at $78,418, placing it just above Deribit’s max pain level of $78,000 for the May 3 expiry, creating a focal point for options traders.

Exchange Open Interest: Binance Leads, CME Sees Strongest Gains

According to Coinglass data, Binance tops the futures open interest chart with 134,620 BTC ($10.55B), followed by CME with 117,320 BTC ($9.20B). CME recorded the strongest 24-hour increase at 6.16%, while most other exchanges saw slight declines. BingX dropped 54.60% in OI over 24 hours, while KuCoin bucked the trend with a 4.32% gain. Gate.io, MEXC, and Bybit also hold significant positions, with 68,860 BTC, 78,430 BTC, and 59,890 BTC respectively.

Options Concentration: Deribit’s $80K Call Dominates

The largest single options contract across all platforms is the Deribit call option expiring May 29, 2026, with a strike price of $80,000 and open interest of 7,493.7 BTC. Other notable call positions include the December 2026 $120,000 call (6,600 BTC) and the June 2026 $90,000 call (6,362.7 BTC). On the bearish side, the largest put is the December 2026 $60,000 contract, holding 5,298.9 BTC.

CME options data shows that near-term contracts (1-2 months) dominate the term structure. CryptoQuant’s chart covering mid-2025 to early May 2026 reveals a sharp contraction from the November 2025 peak when total CME options OI approached 70,000 contracts. Current levels range between 8,000 and 14,000 contracts per expiry cycle. An analysis of CME put vs. call interest shows puts consistently outperformed calls in USD terms during February and March 2026 before stabilizing. Call interest began recovering in April, though both categories remain well below late-2025 highs.

Max Pain Diverges Across Exchanges

As the May 3 expiry approaches, max pain levels differ by exchange. Deribit’s current max pain sits near $78,000, while longer-dated expirations show a downward slope toward $69,000 for March 2027. The June 2026 expiry carries the largest notional value on Deribit at roughly $9 billion. Binance’s May 29 expiry has a max pain of approximately $75,000 and the largest notional bar, while the June 26 contract also centers at $75,000. The September 25 expiry rises toward $84,000 before declining again. OKX’s May 3 expiry shows a notably optimistic max pain of $65,000, while its March 2027 contract sees the max pain rise back to $78,000. With Bitcoin at $78,418, it sits above the near-term max pain levels of Binance and OKX but essentially at Deribit’s reading. Options traders managing exposure near expiry could act as a subtle force shaping weekend price action.

Whale Withdraws 1,051 BTC; Bitcoin ETFs See $630M Inflow

In a notable on-chain movement, a newly created wallet withdrew 1,051 Bitcoin (valued at $82.35 million) from Binance in a single transaction. This whale activity comes as U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $630 million in net inflows on the same day, signaling continued institutional demand. These capital flows, combined with the options market’s mixed signals, underscore the tug-of-war between bullish and bearish sentiment in the current price range.

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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