Bitcoin Rally Has a Hidden Rhythm: APAC and US Sessions Lead, Monday Best for Bullish Bets

Bitcoin Rally Has a Hidden Rhythm: APAC and US Sessions Lead, Monday Best for Bullish Bets

N
News Editor 01
2026-07-05 17:47:12
Data from Velo reveals that Bitcoin's recovery from February lows to over $80K has been driven primarily by APAC and US trading hours, with Monday averaging 1.5% returns – a clear edge for bulls.

加密市场分析师近期通过分析Velo提供的数据发现,比特币自2月初从6.3万美元以下低点反弹至8万美元以上的过程中,并非所有交易时段都均等受益。特定时段、小时和日期表现出持续的优势,交易者若能掌握这些窗口,或将优化入场时机和风险管理策略。

三大交易时段:亚太与美股主导涨势

Velo将交易日划分为三个8小时时段:亚太时段(UTC 00:00-08:00,覆盖东京、新加坡、首尔、悉尼)、欧洲时段(UTC 08:00-16:00,覆盖伦敦、法兰克福)和美股时段(UTC 16:00-00:00,覆盖纽约)。自2月6日以来约31%的价格涨幅中,亚太时段贡献了13%,美股时段贡献了11.5%,而欧洲时段仅贡献6.5%。值得注意的是,美股时段的领先地位并非一直持续:2月至3月期间,美股时段回报大多持平甚至为负,亚太时段主导了早期反弹;但进入4月后,美股时段突然转为强势正回报。

整体数据显示,流动性和动能集中在亚太和美股两大时段。虽然这无法保证趋势延续,但清晰揭示了当前周期中价格发现最活跃的时间区间,对交易者进行市场时机选择和风险控制具有参考价值。

最佳交易小时:UTC午夜时刻

在表现最好的时段内,具体哪个小时最优?数据显示,UTC 00:00-01:00(即午夜蜡烛)是过去三个月中最强的交易小时,平均回报率达0.10%。这一窗口恰好位于美股时段尾声与亚太时段伊始的交汇处,新鲜流动性涌入市场。第二强的小时为UTC 15:00(欧洲时段深水区),而最弱的小时为UTC 06:00。

最佳做多日:周一,最差:周四

从星期维度看,结论更加明确。过去三个月,周一以压倒性优势成为最强交易日,平均回报约1.5%;周三位列第二(约0.65%),周五小幅正回报(约0.3%)。而周四是最差交易日,平均回报约-0.55%。整体上,工作日平均正回报约0.4%,而周末平均负回报约0.25%。

对于看涨交易者而言,周一的数据提供了最清晰的入场依据。结合亚太时段和美股时段的优势时段,交易者可制定更精细的短线策略。然而,历史规律不能保证未来表现,市场情绪、宏观经济事件等外部因素仍可能打破节奏,交易者需综合运用风险管理工具。

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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