CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. said Bitcoin’s UTXO Stress Score has climbed back to 71.5, moving above the 70 threshold again and signaling that most supply remains underwater. In his reading, that keeps the market in a high-stress state rather than a recovery phase. Adler compared the current setup with conditions a year earlier, when Bitcoin was trading at $114,000 and the same indicator was near 41, a level he described as neutral.
He also noted that for nearly two-thirds of the past year, the metric has stayed in either a high-stress or extreme-stress zone. The indicator previously hit 100 during the market crash in November 2025. At present, weekly momentum stands at +3, which he said points to a mild pickup in stress after about a month of easing. Over the past month, the score has mostly traded between 65 and 76, without a sharp deterioration or a meaningful recovery.
According to Adler, a sustained move back below 70, combined with negative momentum, would confirm that pressure is easing. If Bitcoin breaks below the monthly low of roughly $61,500 instead, the score could worsen quickly toward the 90-plus range and revisit the extreme conditions seen last November.
Bitcoin’s UTXO Stress Score has rebounded to 71.5, reclaiming the 70 mark, according to CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. The move suggests that most Bitcoin supply remains at a loss and that the market is still sitting in a high-stress zone.
The metric has moved back above 70
Adler said the same indicator was near 41, a neutral reading, a year ago when Bitcoin was priced at $114,000. Over the past year, the UTXO Stress Score has spent nearly two-thirds of the time in either a high-stress or extreme-stress range. It also reached an extreme reading of 100 during the market crash in November 2025.
Recent range and key levels to watch
Weekly momentum is now at +3, showing that stress has started to increase mildly after easing for about a month. Over the past month, the index has mostly fluctuated between 65 and 76, with no rapid deterioration and no material recovery during that stretch.
Adler said a sustained drop below 70, together with negative momentum, would confirm that pressure is easing. If Bitcoin falls below the monthly low of about $61,500, the score could accelerate toward the 90+ area and replay the extreme conditions seen in November last year.
This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan. Disclaimer:
The market information, project data, and third-party content displayed on this platform are for industry information sharing only and do not constitute any form of investment advice or return commitment.
Cryptocurrency trading carries high risks. Users should fully assess their risk tolerance and make independent decisions. All profits, losses, and legal responsibilities are borne by the users themselves.