Bitwise’s André Dragosch Says Bitcoin’s ‘Fair Value’ Is $197,000

Bitwise’s André Dragosch Says Bitcoin’s ‘Fair Value’ Is $197,000

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News Editor
2026-11-02 14:36:15
Bitwise’s André Dragosch said Bitcoin’s current “fair value” stands at $197,000 based on his global money supply model, according to a Bitcoin Magazine program hosted by Spencer Nichols. In the discussion, Dragosch argued that Bitcoin often moves ahead of shifts in global liquidity and described it as the “canary in the liquidity coal mine.” The episode also covered recession risk, the Federal Reserve’s next move, and the idea that capital rotating out of precious metals could help Bitcoin catch up with money supply trends. Bitcoin Magazine’s chapter list shows the conversation also touched on rising French bond yields, tighter financial conditions, the dollar, an AI bubble, contagion risk in AI credit, China’s slowdown, whether Bitcoin could decouple from stocks, Bretton Woods III, Bitcoin as global money, reserve currency optionality, and Bitcoin-backed credit. The page states that the views expressed are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or affiliated entities. It also says the content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice.

Bitwise’s André Dragosch said Bitcoin’s current “fair value” is $197,000, citing his global money supply model in a Bitcoin Magazine program hosted by Spencer Nichols.

Dragosch, identified on the page as Bitwise Director and Head of Research Europe, said Bitcoin tends to move ahead of shifts in global liquidity. In the discussion, he described the asset as the “canary in the liquidity coal mine.” The conversation also examined recession risk, the Federal Reserve’s next move, and how capital rotating out of precious metals could help Bitcoin catch up to the money supply.

Topics listed in the episode chapters

Bitcoin Magazine’s chapter markers show the program covered a wide range of macro and market issues:

  • 00:00 Why French bond yields are rising
  • 03:13 Tightening financial conditions go global
  • 08:04 What the dollar and an AI bubble mean for Bitcoin
  • 12:45 Contagion risk in the AI credit complex
  • 17:23 Bitcoin, the canary in the liquidity coal mine
  • 21:21 The Fed’s dilemma and the debt burden
  • 25:42 China’s slowdown and recession risk
  • 30:18 Will Bitcoin decouple from stocks?
  • 33:47 Bitcoin’s $197K fair value
  • 37:43 Bretton Woods III and Bitcoin as global money
  • 42:07 Bitcoin’s reserve currency call option
  • 46:48 Bitcoin-backed credit and Strategy as a bank

Attribution and disclaimer

The page lists Spencer Nichols as host and André Dragosch as the guest. It also includes a disclaimer stating that the views and opinions expressed in the show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities.

Bitcoin Magazine also says the content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. It adds that nothing in the show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments, and says viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.

The post first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is credited to Mark Mason.

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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