The probability of the US CLARITY Act passing Congress has risen to 69%, boosting crypto market confidence. Experts analyze best and worst case scenarios for XRP, with potential 50-100% upside or 30% downside.
根据CryptoComLearn最新数据，美国《加密货币清晰度法案》（CLARITY Act）在国会通过的概率已飙升至69%，较此前显著上升。这一变化被市场解读为监管明朗化信号，推动加密市场整体信心回升。
CLARITY Act对XRP的潜在影响
该法案旨在明确数字资产的分类及监管权归属，其中对XRP等尚未明确合规地位的代币尤为关键。专家指出，若法案通过，SEC将失去对XRP的“证券”认定基础，XRP有望摆脱长期诉讼阴影，价格可能迎来50%-100%的短期涨幅。反之，若法案受阻，XRP或重回监管不确定性漩涡，面临30%以上的下行风险。
市场情绪与资金流向
数据模型显示，成文概率每上升10%，XRP期货持仓量增加约12%，资金正从稳定币转向主流代币。分析师建议投资者关注7月中旬的国会听证会，届时法案可能迎来关键投票节点。
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