A key procedural vote on the CLARITY Act is scheduled in the U.S. Senate for the afternoon of Sept. 15 Eastern Time, setting up a near-term test of whether the bill can advance to full Senate consideration. Data from Predict.fun shows the perceived probability of the legislation passing within 2026 has dropped to 16%, down from 33% a day earlier.
The shift comes after renewed friction over the latest version of the bill. Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis previously said that even after Republicans released what she described as a final compromise draft over the weekend, Democrats continued to push for additional changes. Some Democratic lawmakers remain dissatisfied with the crypto ethics provisions in the revised text and are planning to submit a counterproposal before the procedural vote.
The vote does not determine final passage of the bill itself. Instead, it will decide whether the CLARITY Act moves forward to the full Senate for debate and consideration.
According to BlockBeats, the U.S. Senate is set to hold a key procedural vote on the CLARITY Act on the afternoon of Sept. 15 Eastern Time. The vote will determine whether the bill can move to the full Senate for consideration.
A procedural test before full Senate review
The Sept. 15 vote is focused on process rather than final approval. Its outcome will decide whether the CLARITY Act advances to the next stage and reaches the full Senate floor.
Passage odds drop on Predict.fun
Predict.fun data shows the probability of the CLARITY Act passing within this year has fallen to 16%, down from 33% the previous day.
Democrats still seeking changes
Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis previously said that Democrats were still asking for more revisions after Republicans released what she described as the final compromise version of the CLARITY Act over the weekend.
Lummis also said some Democrats remain unhappy with the crypto ethics provisions in the revised text and plan to submit a counterproposal before the procedural vote.
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