CME Data Shows 38.5% Probability of a 25 bp Fed Rate Hike in July

News Editor

2026-06-20 23:58:02

CME FedWatch data shows a 61.5% probability that the Federal Reserve keeps rates unchanged in July, while the probability of a 25 basis point hike is 38.5%.

Federal ReserveCMEInterest RatesPolicy Regulation

BlockBeats reported on June 20 that, according to CME “FedWatch” data, the probability that the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged at its July meeting is now 61.5%. The probability of a 25 basis point rate increase is now 38.5%. Based on the figures cited, the unchanged-rate scenario is higher than the 25 basis point hike scenario.

CME “FedWatch” is used to display pricing related to Federal Reserve interest rate outcomes. A move of 25 basis points equals 0.25 percentage points. The data in this report lists only two July outcomes: no change in rates and a 25 basis point increase, with the figures sourced from CME “FedWatch.”

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.

200

Disclaimer:

The market information, project data, and third-party content displayed on this platform are for industry information sharing only and do not constitute any form of investment advice or return commitment.

Cryptocurrency trading carries high risks. Users should fully assess their risk tolerance and make independent decisions. All profits, losses, and legal responsibilities are borne by the users themselves.