CME FedWatch Shows 98.5% Probability of No Fed Rate Change in June

News Editor

2026-06-14 23:00:51

According to ChainCatcher, citing Jinshi, CME FedWatch indicates a 98.5% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged in June, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut stands at 1.5%.

CMEFedWatchFederal ReserveInterest RatesRegulation

ChainCatcher reported, citing Jinshi, that the latest CME FedWatch data shows a 98.5% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in June. The probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is listed at 1.5%.

June and July Rate Probability Readings

For July, CME FedWatch shows a 91.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged. The probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 7.4%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is 1.4%.

CME FedWatch is commonly used as a reference for market pricing of Federal Reserve rate expectations. Based on the figures cited in the report, holding rates unchanged remains the highest-probability outcome for both June and July, while the July distribution also includes probabilities for both a cumulative hike and a cumulative cut.

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.

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