CNN says Senate control remains unsettled on eve of U.S. midterm elections

News Editor

2026-11-02 11:43:58

CNN reported on the eve of the U.S. midterm elections that Democrats were nearing a path to reclaiming the Senate majority, though several key races remained tight and even deeply Republican states were still seen as potentially competitive for either party. The network expanded its list of the "most likely to flip" Senate seats to 11, adding South Carolina, while states such as Texas and Kansas moved higher in the battleground ranking after drawing little attention earlier in the year. According to the report, Democrats would need to flip four Republican-held seats and defend all of their own seats to secure a Senate majority. CNN’s polling compilation put Donald Trump’s approval at about 34%, and the report said issues including the economy, a possible war with Iran, and corruption were helping drive Democratic turnout. In the final month, Republicans spent about $560 million on advertising across the 11 races, compared with roughly $521 million for Democrats, with the Republican edge widening if Georgia and North Carolina were excluded.

U.S. midterms Senate CNN Democrats Republicans polls campaign ads

On the eve of the U.S. midterm elections, Democrats were close to a path for retaking the Senate majority, but several key races were still tight, according to CNN. The report said even deeply Republican states could still break either way.

CNN expanded its list of the Senate seats "most likely to flip" to 11, adding South Carolina. Texas and Kansas, which had drawn little attention as battlegrounds earlier in the year, also moved up in the ranking.

According to the report, Democrats would need to flip four Republican-held seats and hold every seat they already control in order to win a Senate majority.

CNN’s polling compilation showed Donald Trump’s approval rating at about 34%. The report said the economy, a possible war with Iran, and corruption were boosting Democratic mobilization.

In the final month, Republicans spent about $560 million on advertising across the 11 races, while Democrats spent about $521 million. Excluding Georgia and North Carolina, the Republican advantage was larger.

Among the top-ranked races, North Carolina Democrat Roy Cooper led Republican Michael Whatley by about 14 percentage points in a High Point/YouGov final poll, making it the seat CNN viewed as the most likely to flip. In Ohio, former Senator Sherrod Brown held an average lead of about 5 percentage points.

In Texas, James Talarico was running against Ken Paxton. CNN’s aggregate did not show a clear leader, but recent polls from The New York Times/Siena and CNN both showed Talarico ahead. Spending tied to Elon Musk accounted for more than $168 million of Republican advertising in the state, according to the report.

The rest of the list included Maine, Alaska, Kansas, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Georgia.

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