Could a Pro-Crypto U.S. Administration End Up Hurting Crypto?

Could a Pro-Crypto U.S. Administration End Up Hurting Crypto?

N
News Editor 01
2026-07-22 12:24:13
A friendlier U.S. stance on crypto has boosted prices and adoption, but industry voices say weak rulemaking, political alignment, and regulatory ambiguity may create bigger long-term risks.
US regulationBitcoinDeFistablecoinscrypto policy

A pro-crypto White House helped fuel one of the industry’s strongest runs in 2025. Bitcoin climbed above $126,000 in October 2025, while DeFi total value locked reached a record $237 billion in the third quarter of the year. On the surface, lighter enforcement, executive support, and public political backing looked like exactly what the sector had been asking for.

The problem is less visible. If support remains rhetorical and does not turn into durable rules, the industry may gain momentum in the short term while becoming more exposed to legal uncertainty and policy reversals.

Friendly messaging is not the same as legal certainty

In practice, a “pro-crypto” stance usually means resistance to aggressive regulation, praise for blockchain innovation, and a softer enforcement posture. The article points to actions under Trump including eased SEC scrutiny around ETFs, signals that encouraged stablecoin and deposit-token efforts at major banks, and direct contact with industry leaders.

David B. Hoppe, founder and managing partner at Gamma Law, draws a sharp distinction between language and structure. His point is simple: real support requires clear rules on token classification, agency authority, and compliance expectations. Without those, firms are left reading political signals while still lacking operational certainty.

Maghnus Mareneck, co-CEO and co-founder of Cosmos Labs, makes a similar argument. He describes the GENIUS Act as one of the few concrete positives because it opened room for stablecoins issued by major banks. Even so, he says broader guidance remained vague enough that companies like his delayed features such as swapping and staking out of concern over possible SEC action.

Deregulation can accelerate growth and also increase fragility

The upside is obvious. Lighter pressure helped encourage launches and experimentation, including Klarna’s USD stablecoin, the Tempo platform from Stripe and Paradigm, and restaking protocols such as EigenLayer. A 2026 survey from Security.org found that about 30% of American adults held crypto, up from roughly 15% in 2021.

Ryan Kirkley, CEO of Global Settlement Network, says that momentum is real but unevenly distributed. In his view, claiming to support crypto is easy; what matters is whether policy actions and rulings give the industry confidence that it is operating under known legal protections. He argues that early Trump-era moves favored large players such as Coinbase and Binance, while startups stayed trapped in gray areas that slowed longer-term development.

The hidden cost of that environment is instability. When boundaries are unclear, riskier models spread faster. Mareneck recalls the fear that a business could grow quickly and still face a sudden crackdown. Heavy enforcement can chill innovation, but a loose approach without preventive guardrails can leave room for bubbles and fraud.

Political alignment creates a credibility problem

Another concern raised in the piece is politicization. If crypto becomes too closely associated with one political camp, it can lose credibility with regulators, banks, and institutional investors that prefer neutrality and continuity. Trump’s framing of crypto as a form of financial populism energized supporters, but it also tied the sector more tightly to partisan cycles.

Marissa Kim, wealth and treasury management platform lead at ABRA, says crypto should not be politicized. She warns that if the market believes some groups are receiving more favorable treatment, trust weakens across a large share of the country. That matters for institutional capital, which generally needs stable, bipartisan policy conditions before committing at scale.

Dmitry Machikhin, CEO of BitOK, offers a similar view. He says crypto now appears politically owned, which leads banks, regulators, and some institutions to price in headline risk and the chance of abrupt policy shifts. Miguel Zapatero, general counsel at Crossmint, adds that the key danger is the perception that regulatory outcomes are driven by political relationships rather than substantive rulemaking. He contrasts that with the European Union’s MiCA framework, where strict but clear rules helped firms obtain licenses and build client trust.

What the sector still lacks is a durable framework

The central thread across the interviews is that markets can handle strict regulation more easily than unpredictable regulation. Hoppe says businesses generally tolerate tough rules; what they struggle with is uncertainty. Vague standards raise costs, deter investment, and can push builders offshore.

Kirkley takes a slightly different angle, saying strict enforcement without clear rules can at least create precedent over time, though he also criticizes the cancellation of cases under Trump because it left unresolved gaps in areas like token launches. Machikhin is less sympathetic to that model and says enforcement first, rulemaking later, usually produces unpredictable outcomes that discourage legitimate activity.

The solutions proposed in the article are fairly specific: classify assets as commodities or securities, pass market structure legislation covering custody and exchanges, and create federal standards for stablecoins and banking access. Zapatero says MiCA works because companies know exactly what is required and can plan around it. Machikhin makes the political point directly: the industry needs legislation, not executive orders, because executive orders can swing back and forth with changes in power.

The article’s answer is not that a pro-crypto administration is automatically bad for crypto. It is that supportive rhetoric, on its own, can become counterproductive if it delays the harder work of building durable and neutral rules. Price rallies and political endorsements may lift the market for a time. They do not settle the legal foundation the industry still needs.

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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