Crypto Morning Brief: Wintermute Sends 3,834 BTC to Binance, Dalio Warns of a U.S. Debt Crisis

Crypto Morning Brief: Wintermute Sends 3,834 BTC to Binance, Dalio Warns of a U.S. Debt Crisis

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News Editor
2026-08-24 01:32:28
TechFlowPost’s Aug. 24 crypto morning brief covered a wide range of market-moving developments. The headline on-chain flow came from market maker Wintermute, which moved a cumulative 3,834.3 BTC to Binance during the week, including 590.9 BTC transferred about 43 minutes before the cited update, according to Onchain Lens. In macro markets, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio warned that a U.S. debt crisis could arrive in roughly three years, with a two-year margin either way, citing a $2 trillion annual deficit and about $10 trillion in debt that needs refinancing. He said investors should cut bond exposure, raise gold allocations to 10% to 15% of portfolios, and hold a small amount of Bitcoin. The brief also noted an $8.5 million governance attack on DeFi lending protocol Term Labs, Eric Trump’s public denial of claims that Donald Trump would launch a new token, Standard Chartered’s view that its $100,000 year-end Bitcoin target may be too low, a whale deposit of 2,555 BTC to Binance, Machi’s reported 84x gain on Hyperliquid in three days, and Jiang Zhuoer’s view that ETH could outperform BTC in the current cycle.

Wintermute sent a cumulative 3,834.3 BTC to Binance over the week, worth about $256.8 million.

Market moves from the previous day

Ray Dalio warns a U.S. debt crisis could arrive within three years

On Aug. 22, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio wrote that the U.S. faces an annual fiscal gap of $2 trillion and roughly $10 trillion of debt that needs to be refinanced. If the current path does not change, he said, a debt crisis could come 「within three years, give or take two years」.

For portfolio positioning, Dalio advised investors to reduce bond exposure to avoid debt risk, raise gold holdings to 10% to 15% of a portfolio, and keep a small Bitcoin allocation as a hedge against government credit risk.

Dalio also called for the U.S. to cut its budget deficit from about 6% of GDP to 3% through spending cuts, higher taxes, and lower interest rates. Following those comments, gold rose to its highest level since May on Friday, while Bitcoin moved above $77,000, marking its biggest weekly gain since 2023.

Michael Saylor on Bitcoin as digital economic energy

On Aug. 23, Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor said in a post on X: 「Bitcoin’s most profound breakthrough is its ability to convert ‘economic energy’ into digital form and securely bind it to an individual, family, company, machine, or nation.」

CertiK says Term Labs suffered a governance attack with about $8.5 million lost

On Aug. 23, according to CertiK Alert, DeFi lending protocol Term Labs suffered a governance attack that caused about $8.5 million in losses. Around 2,843 ETH and about $1.6 million worth of DAI had been moved to address 0xD5183d8BfC65a50863C62aF2538198A8288FFc13.

Term Labs confirmed that its Term Vaults were hit by a governance exploit and said the team is investigating. More details will be released after the review is complete. The project has not disclosed the exact attack method or the full scope of affected assets.

Standard Chartered says $100,000 year-end Bitcoin target may be too low

On Aug. 23, Cointelegraph reported that Geoff Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s global head of digital asset research, said the bank’s $100,000 year-end Bitcoin target may now be too low. As spot Bitcoin ETF inflows recover, he said BTC could move toward its record high of $126,000 before year-end.

Kendrick said the current rally has been driven mainly by short liquidations and that open interest remains relatively low, leaving room for more investors to re-enter as prices rise. In February, he had lowered his year-end Bitcoin target from $150,000 to $100,000.

Whale deposits 2,555 BTC to Binance

On Aug. 23, according to Lookonchain, whale address 3NVeXm deposited 2,555 BTC, worth about $197 million, to Binance around 13 hours earlier.

Eric Trump denies any new Trump token plan

On Aug. 23, a crypto KOL on X claimed that Donald Trump was about to officially launch a new token and referenced the previously launched TRUMP and MELANIA tokens. Eric Trump, Donald Trump’s second son, directly quoted the post and replied: 「This is completely untrue. No one is launching any form of token. If anyone says otherwise, it is fraud.」

Wintermute moved 3,834.3 BTC to Binance during the week

On Aug. 22, according to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), market maker Wintermute transferred 590.9 BTC to Binance about 43 minutes before the update, worth about $45.66 million. Its cumulative weekly transfers to Binance reached 3,834.3 BTC, worth about $256.8 million.

Machi turns $152,000 into $12.72 million in three days

On Aug. 22, according to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), trader Machi (@machibigbrother) used Hyperliquid to grow $152,000 in capital to $12.72 million in just three days. Net profit exceeded $12.5 million, for a return of about 84x.

Jiang Zhuoer says ETH could outperform BTC in this cycle

On Aug. 22, Jiang Zhuoer (@Jiangzhuoer2) said the ETH he had previously sold between $1,738 and $1,931 was bought back at $2,100 on a stop-loss, and that he had just sold 50% of his spot holdings at $2,525 in an attempt to call a top. He set his stop-loss at $2,550, or 1%. He said his earlier bearish view was wrong and described it as 「spectacularly wrong」.

Looking ahead, Jiang said he sees a 90% probability that the bear market has ended. He plans to go all in if BTC falls back to the $67,000 to $72,000 range, or otherwise buy the rest of his position at market prices no later than the end of October. He also said ETH is likely to outperform BTC in this round, citing large-scale on-chain migration and tokenization of U.S. financial assets as the core driver.

Today’s market prices

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This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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