Crypto analyst Darkfost said Bitcoin’s price swings around its "Power Law" trendline have been shrinking over the past 10 years, pointing to tighter market-cycle behavior. According to the figures he shared, the oscillator’s peak fell from +169 in 2018 to +102 in 2025, while the standard deviation of its daily change dropped from 4.81 to 2.47, a decline of about 49%.
Darkfost added that the oscillator was at +34.5 at the time of the post, with Bitcoin priced at about $84,700. Based on the model parameters for that day, an oscillator reading of +100 would correspond to a Bitcoin price of roughly $157,800, or about 86% above the current level.
He also said $157,800 should not be treated as a fixed target. Instead, he described it as a reference level derived from the current regression parameters. If the power-law trendline keeps rising, that reference price would move higher as well.
According to ChainCatcher, crypto analyst Darkfost said Bitcoin’s price fluctuations around the "Power Law" trendline have gradually narrowed over the past decade, with market-cycle swings moving toward convergence.
Darkfost said the oscillator’s peak has fallen from +169 in 2018 to +102 in 2025. The standard deviation of its daily change also declined from 4.81 to 2.47, a drop of about 49%.
He added that the model’s oscillator stood at +34.5 at the time of the post, with Bitcoin priced at about $84,700. Based on the model parameters for that day, an oscillator reading of +100 would imply a Bitcoin price of about $157,800, roughly 86% above the current price.
Darkfost also said $157,800 is not a fixed target price. He described it as a reference level calculated from the current regression parameters. If the power-law trendline continues to rise, that reference price would also increase.
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