Most economists expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to leave interest rates unchanged at its meeting this month and keep them there through the end of 2027, according to a ChainCatcher report. That view stands in contrast to market pricing, which has turned more hawkish in the near term. The survey found that only 13 economists expect a rate hike this month, while the market is assigning a 70% probability of a hike next week. Yelena Shulyatyeva said a renewed rise in inflation could alter that outlook. The report highlights a widening gap between economist forecasts and market expectations over the Fed’s next move.
Most economists expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting this month and maintain that stance through the end of 2027, according to ChainCatcher, even as market expectations for a rate hike have picked up.
The survey showed that only 13 economists expect a rate increase this month, while the market is pricing in a 70% probability of a hike next week. Yelena Shulyatyeva warned that a rise in inflation could change the current picture.
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