According to Jinshi, as reported by ChainCatcher, the CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged at its September meeting is 45.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike stands at 54.4%. Looking ahead to October, the data reveals a 33.5% probability of rates remaining unchanged, a 52.1% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike, and a 14.5% probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike. These figures, derived from market pricing, provide a snapshot of current expectations for the Fed's policy path. The probabilities reflect market participants' positions ahead of the upcoming meetings. While the numbers are subject to revision as new economic data and policy signals emerge, they offer a clear view of how rate prospects are currently priced. This information was first relayed by Jinshi and later picked up by ChainCatcher. The report did not include additional commentary or analysis beyond the stated probabilities.
According to Jinshi, as reported by ChainCatcher, CME's FedWatch tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September stands at 45.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 54.4%.
For October, the tool indicates a 33.5% chance of no rate change, a 52.1% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike, and a 14.5% chance of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike.
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