Goldman Sachs says AI spending support has not offset selling pressure in Korean stocks as leveraged ETF assets halve from peak

Goldman Sachs says AI spending support has not offset selling pressure in Korean stocks as leveraged ETF assets halve from peak

N
News Editor
2026-07-27 04:02:14
Goldman Sachs said in its latest Korea market weekly that South Korean equities remain under pressure even as foreign investors have recently bought into the KOSPI and Alphabet’s higher AI capital expenditure outlook has reinforced the semiconductor demand narrative. The KOSPI still fell about 2% last week, according to the report. The bank said foreign inflows were concentrated mainly in technology shares, while the broader Korean market continues to face medium-term outflow pressure. Foreign ownership in the semiconductor sector is near historical lows, it added. Goldman also noted that the KOSPI’s 12-month forward EPS estimate was revised down by 0.4%, with the auto sector facing the heaviest earnings adjustment pressure. On leverage, retail margin balances in Korea declined to $22 billion from a peak of $25 billion, while leveraged ETF assets fell to $26 billion from $53 billion. Goldman said AI capex remains the main support factor for Korean equities, but lower earnings expectations, light foreign positioning and swings in risk appetite could continue to amplify short-term index volatility.
Goldman SachsKOSPISouth Korea equitiesAI capexSemiconductorsLeveraged ETFsForeign flows

Goldman Sachs said in its latest Korea market weekly that the KOSPI fell about 2% last week even as foreign investors had been buying the index and Alphabet raised its AI capital expenditure outlook, a move that strengthened the semiconductor demand narrative.

Foreign buying focused on technology

The bank said the recent return of foreign capital was concentrated mainly in technology stocks. Still, the Korean market continues to face medium-term outflow pressure, and foreign holdings in semiconductor names are close to historical lows.

Earnings expectations moved lower

Goldman also said the KOSPI’s 12-month forward EPS estimate was cut by 0.4%. Among sectors, automakers are facing the greatest pressure from earnings estimate revisions.

Leverage has pulled back from peak levels

On positioning and leverage, retail margin balances in Korea fell to $22 billion from a peak of $25 billion. Assets in leveraged ETFs dropped to $26 billion from $53 billion.

Goldman said AI capital spending remains the main support factor for Korean equities. At the same time, lower earnings expectations, low foreign positioning and shifts in risk appetite could keep amplifying short-term moves in the index.

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