IMF warns AI’s deeper role in finance could amplify volatility and systemic risk

IMF warns AI’s deeper role in finance could amplify volatility and systemic risk

N
News Editor
2026-07-24 03:31:07
The International Monetary Fund said artificial intelligence is moving into the core of the financial system, reshaping how trading, lending, regulation and financial infrastructure operate. While the technology can improve liquidity, cut costs and strengthen risk detection in normal market conditions, the IMF said large-scale and synchronized use of AI models could create new stability risks. According to the IMF, regulators should focus on three priorities: tighter governance over AI-driven trading, lending and supervisory technology; greater transparency around how firms use AI, which models they depend on and where risks sit; and stronger international coordination to improve resilience and cyber defenses across the financial system. The IMF also warned that AI is shortening decision-making time in markets and that similar models trained on similar signals may adjust positions at the same time, creating an “AI herd effect.” It added that opaque models can make oversight harder, while concentrated reliance on a small group of cloud, data and AI providers could expose multiple institutions to the same operational, cyber or geopolitical disruptions. The fund said AI should support supervisory judgment, not replace human decision-making.

BlockBeats reported on July 24 that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned artificial intelligence is moving into core parts of the financial system and changing how trading, lending, regulation and financial infrastructure operate. The IMF said widespread and synchronized use of AI models could amplify market swings and introduce new systemic risks.

Three priorities for regulators

The IMF said financial regulators should focus on three areas.

  • Strengthen governance over AI-driven trading, lending activity and supervisory technology, or SupTech.
  • Improve transparency around AI use, model dependence and risk exposure across the market.
  • Expand international cooperation to improve the resilience of the financial system and strengthen cyber defenses.

AI is shortening decision cycles in markets

The IMF said AI is compressing decision-making time in financial markets. Machine learning models are already widely used for trading strategies, high-frequency signal generation, corporate earnings analysis and credit risk assessment.

In normal market conditions, the fund said AI can improve liquidity, lower costs and sharpen risk identification. During periods of market stress, though, AI may turn into a volatility amplifier. If large numbers of AI models adjust positions at the same time based on similar data and signals, that could trigger what the IMF described as an “AI herd effect,” intensifying volatility and even increasing the risk of future flash crashes.

Opaque models and concentrated infrastructure dependence

The IMF also said the opacity of AI models adds to supervisory challenges. Even large financial institutions may struggle to explain how AI strategies make decisions in extreme market conditions, which could weaken regulators’ ability to identify risks in advance.

At the same time, the IMF warned that concentrated dependence on AI infrastructure is becoming a new source of risk. Many financial institutions rely on a small number of cloud service providers, data vendors and AI model providers. If a critical supplier is hit by a technical outage, cyberattack or geopolitical shock, the disruption could affect multiple institutions at once.

AI should assist supervision, not replace people

In regulation, AI is helping central banks and financial institutions improve market monitoring, risk identification and supervisory efficiency. Even so, the IMF said AI should strengthen supervisory judgment rather than replace human decision-making.

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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