According to TechFlowPost, Elon Musk responded on June 18 to a community query about when China would achieve Fable-level AI, answering: “Probably Q1.” The brief comment did not specify a particular year, but drew attention from the crypto and AI communities.
Behind this prediction, X user Teortaxes had previously shared an analysis stating that GLM 5.2 currently lags behind frontier models by roughly 7 months, placing it around the Opus 4.7–4.8 level. Meanwhile, Mythos reached Preview status in early February 2026, and the full PRC Mythos (codenamed “Fable”) is expected to launch between November and December 2026. Given this timeline, Musk’s “Q1” likely refers to the first quarter of 2027.
The remark offers a window into sentiment regarding China’s AI development pace, though actual timing remains subject to model iteration progress.