Prediction market pricing on Polymarket shows traders assigning relatively modest odds to Ethereum reaching $3,000 by 2026. In a market with volume close to $9 million, participants priced the probability of ETH touching $2,000 at 83% and $2,500 at 56%, while the chance of reaching $3,500 was marked at 12% and $5,000 at less than 4%. The implied probability for $3,000 stood at 17%.
A separate Polymarket contract asking whether Ethereum will hit $1,000 or $3,000 first had traded $95,300, with the $1,000 outcome priced at 54 cents and the $3,000 outcome at 50 cents. That contract is set to resolve using Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candlestick data, with a deadline of Dec. 31, 2026.
Another Polymarket market tracking whether Ethereum will set a new all-time high had generated $2.3 million in volume. Traders priced the chance of that happening before Dec. 31 at 6%, and before Sept. 30 at 1%. On Kalshi, related markets showed year-end probabilities of 15% for ETH above $3,500, 12% above $3,750, and 10% above $4,000.
Polymarket pricing shows traders assigning a 17% chance that Ethereum will reach $3,000 by 2026, based on a market with volume close to $9 million.
In Polymarket’s “What price will Ethereum reach in 2026” market, traders priced the probability of ETH reaching $2,000 at 83% and $2,500 at 56%. The market also showed 12% odds of ETH reaching $3,500, while the probability of hitting $5,000 was below 4%.
In a separate Polymarket contract asking whether Ethereum will hit $1,000 or $3,000 first, volume stood at $95,300. Traders priced the $1,000 outcome at 54 cents and the $3,000 outcome at 50 cents. The contract is set to resolve using Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candlestick data, with a deadline of Dec. 31, 2026.
Another Polymarket contract tracking whether Ethereum will set a new all-time high had generated $2.3 million in trading volume. Traders put the probability of that happening before Dec. 31 at 6%, and before Sept. 30 at 1%.
Related markets on Kalshi showed traders assigning year-end probabilities of 15% for Ethereum moving above $3,500, 12% above $3,750, and 10% above $4,000.
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