PPP, a prediction-market tracking tool, showed that Polymarket contracts tied to four mathematicians winning the 2026 Fields Medal have all surged over the past week and now trade above 98%. The names cited are Deng Yu, Wang Hong, John Pardon and Jacob Tsimerman. The 2026 International Congress of Mathematicians is scheduled to open on July 23 in Philadelphia, where the Fields Medal and several other prizes are set to be announced. Recent online discussion has pointed to the ICM 2026 website schedule’s front-end code as a possible source of clues about the winners, but the reported list has not been officially confirmed. If Deng Yu and Wang Hong do ultimately receive the prize, it would mark the first time mathematicians of Chinese nationality have won the Fields Medal.
PPP, a prediction-market tracking tool, said Polymarket contracts for “Deng Yu to win the 2026 Fields Medal,” “Wang Hong to win the 2026 Fields Medal,” “John Pardon to win the 2026 Fields Medal,” and “Jacob Tsimerman to win the 2026 Fields Medal” have all risen sharply over the past week and now stand above 98%.
The 2026 International Congress of Mathematicians is set to begin on July 23 in Philadelphia, where the Fields Medal and several other prizes will be announced.
Online users recently said that by examining the front-end code of the ICM 2026 website schedule, they found signs that the four people named above could be the winners. The list, however, has not received official confirmation.
If Deng Yu and Wang Hong ultimately win, they would become the first mathematicians of Chinese nationality to receive the Fields Medal.
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