PPP, a prediction-market tracking tool, said odds on Polymarket for a foldable iPhone launching in the U.S. at more than $2,100 have climbed to 70%, up 20% over the past week. In the same market, the probability of a launch price above $2,200 fell to 30%, down 29% on the week. Settlement will be based on Apple’s first announced pre-tax starting price for the lowest-spec foldable iPhone in the U.S. market. If Apple unveils more than one foldable iPhone, the market will use the lowest starting price among them. If no price is announced by 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Sept. 30, the market resolves to “No.” Apple has already said its fall 2026 product launch event will take place at 1:00 a.m. Beijing time on Sept. 10. Pricing for Apple’s first foldable iPhone has become a key focus ahead of that event. Earlier, Bank of America cited media reports saying the device could start at about $2,099, while tech reporter Mark Gurman recently said the first foldable iPhone is expected to be priced at around $2,000.
PPP, a prediction-market tracking tool, said odds on Polymarket for a foldable iPhone debuting in the U.S. at more than $2,100 have risen to 70%, up 20% over the past week. The probability of a price above $2,200 fell to 30% over the same period, a weekly drop of 29%.
Under the market’s settlement rules, the result will be determined by Apple’s first announced pre-tax starting price for the lowest-spec foldable iPhone sold in the U.S. If Apple announces multiple foldable iPhone models at the same time, the market will settle using the lowest starting price among them.
The rules also state that if Apple has not announced a price by 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Sept. 30, the market resolves to “No.”
According to Apple’s official announcement, its fall 2026 product event will be held at 1:00 a.m. Beijing time on Sept. 10. Pricing for Apple’s first foldable iPhone has become a focal point ahead of the launch.
Earlier, Bank of America cited media reports saying the device’s starting price could be about $2,099. Tech journalist Mark Gurman recently said Apple’s first foldable phone is expected to start at around $2,000.
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