Polymarket data shows the market pricing a 74% chance that Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $800 million one day after launch, up 60% over the past 24 hours. Under the market’s rules, the contract resolves to Yes if the token’s FDV exceeds $800 million at the specified observation time, and No if it does not. A token is only considered launched once it is publicly transferable and available for trading. FDV will be calculated by multiplying total token supply by token price. The phrase “one day after launch” is defined as 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time on the day after the token goes live. For settlement, the market will use the price source with the highest liquidity. If Predict.fun does not launch a token by 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Dec. 31, 2027, the market will resolve to No.
Polymarket data shows the probability of Predict.fun’s governance token reaching a fully diluted valuation above $800 million one day after launch has climbed to 74%, up 60% over the past 24 hours.
Under the market’s rules, the contract resolves to Yes if the token’s FDV is above $800 million one day after launch. If it is not, the outcome resolves to No.
How the market defines launch and settlement
A token will only be treated as officially launched if it is publicly transferable and available for trading. FDV will be calculated by multiplying the token’s total supply by its price.
The phrase “one day after launch” is defined as 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time on the day after the token goes live. The market will use the price source with the highest liquidity for settlement.
If no token is launched
If Predict.fun does not launch a token by 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Dec. 31, 2027, the market will resolve to No.
Predict.fun’s website is https://predict.fun/.
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