TradingBeats, formerly Hyperinsight, said on Aug. 11 that Polymarket trader "Stable-Armament" is simultaneously holding shares in two September Federal Reserve rate markets: "No" on a 25 basis point hike and "Yes" on rates staying unchanged. The trader has put about $51,000 into those positions, which are now worth roughly $55,300 for an unrealized gain of about $4,321, making the directional call clear: no rate hike in September.
Historical data cited by TradingBeats shows the account has closed 373 predictions on Polymarket, with 301 wins and 72 losses. That puts the trader's win rate at 80.7%, with cumulative profit of about $1.1335 million.
At the same time, a linked Hyperliquid address, 0xf00e, is running a 20x cross-margin long on 15.7 BTC. The position is valued at about $1.006 million and is currently the account's main holding. Entry price stands at $63,557.1, while BTC was quoted at $63,951 at the time of the update. The position showed an unrealized gain of about $6,196, a return of about 12.4%, and a liquidation price of $54,828.6. TradingBeats also said the trader had completed eight previous BTC trades on Hyperliquid, six profitable and two losing, for a 75% win rate and about $172,700 in net profit after fees.
BlockBeats reported on Aug. 11 that, according to TradingBeats, formerly Hyperinsight, Polymarket trader "Stable-Armament" is currently holding shares in two Federal Reserve September rate markets at the same time: "No" on "the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points in September" and "Yes" on "rates will remain unchanged in September." The combined outlay is about $51,000, showing a direct bet that the Fed will not raise rates in September.
Those prediction positions are now worth about $55,300 in total, leaving an unrealized profit of roughly $4,321.
Track record on Polymarket
Historical records show that "Stable-Armament" has completed 373 predictions on Polymarket, posting 301 wins and 72 losses. That gives the trader an overall win rate of 80.7%, with cumulative profit of about $1.1335 million.
Linked Hyperliquid address holds a 20x BTC long
At the same time, the trader's linked Hyperliquid address, 0xf00e, is holding a 20x cross-margin long on 15.7 BTC. The position is worth about $1.006 million and is the account's main holding at present.
The average entry price is $63,557.1. With BTC quoted at $63,951, the position was showing an unrealized gain of about $6,196, with a return of about 12.4%. The liquidation price stands at $54,828.6.
Six profitable BTC trades out of eight
TradingBeats data also shows that the trader previously completed eight rounds of BTC trading on Hyperliquid. Six were profitable and two ended in losses, giving the account a 75% win rate. Net profit after fees was about $172,700. The current BTC long is the trader's ninth round of trading.
TradingBeats said its on-chain perpetual and address analytics tool is now live, supporting real-time access to Hyperliquid data and address tracing tied to whale activity.
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