PPP’s prediction market tracker shows that the Polymarket contract on whether Donald Trump will formally rename AI by Dec. 31 has climbed to 66%, up 17% over the past week. The market’s resolution criteria are narrow: for the contract to resolve yes, Trump must, by 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Dec. 31, formally adopt a new official name for AI through an executive order, presidential proclamation, or presidential memorandum, or direct the federal government to use that new name. Public statements alone do not count. Speeches, interviews, press conferences, social media posts, and similar remarks are excluded under the rules. Earlier reports said Trump, during a speech at the United Nations General Assembly in New York, repeated his opposition to regulating artificial intelligence. He also said the term “artificial intelligence” undervalues the technology and added that he would like countries around the world to use the alternative name “Super Intelligence.”
PPP’s prediction market tracker shows that the Polymarket contract on whether Donald Trump will formally rename AI by Dec. 31 has risen to 66%, up 17% over the past week.
Resolution requires a formal government action
Under the market’s rules, the contract will resolve yes only if, by 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Dec. 31, Trump formally adopts a new official name for AI through an executive order, presidential proclamation, or presidential memorandum, or requires the federal government to use a new name.
Public statements, speeches, interviews, press conferences, and social media posts are not counted for settlement.
Trump previously floated “Super Intelligence”
Earlier reports said Trump, during a speech at the United Nations General Assembly in New York, reiterated his opposition to regulating artificial intelligence, or AI. He also said the term “artificial intelligence” undervalues the technology and added that he wants countries around the world to adopt the new name “Super Intelligence.”
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