According to monitoring by Odaily Seer, the prediction event for “World Cup Group F winner” on predict.fun now prices the Netherlands at a 76% probability of finishing first in Group F, marking a 32% increase over the past 24 hours. In the same market, Japan is currently shown at 22%.
Group F results shift the prediction market
The latest move followed the second round of World Cup Group F matches played today. The Netherlands defeated Sweden 5:1, while Japan beat Tunisia 4:0 and eliminated Tunisia from the tournament. After these two results, the probability distribution on predict.fun adjusted around the Group F first-place outcome, with the Netherlands taking a higher position in the market.
Odaily Seer said it continues to track prediction markets and aims to observe changes before pricing fully settles. The reported data focuses on the Group F top-spot event, with the key figures being the Netherlands rising to 76% and Japan standing at 22%.

