SEC Begins Review of WisdomTree XRP ETF; Polymarket Shows 83% Approval Probability by 2025

SEC Begins Review of WisdomTree XRP ETF; Polymarket Shows 83% Approval Probability by 2025

N
News Editor 01
2026-07-04 14:34:11
The SEC has initiated a 240-day review of WisdomTree's spot XRP ETF, marking a key milestone. Polymarket predicts an 83% chance of approval by end-2025. XRP trades at $2.31, with $2.50 as immediate resistance.

美国证券交易委员会(SEC)正式启动了对WisdomTree XRP信托(WisdomTree XRP Trust)的审查,标志着现货XRP ETF在美国的审批进程迈出关键一步。根据官方文件(编号34-103124),SEC将开启为期240天的评估窗口,以决定该产品是否符合市场诚信和投资者保护标准,并开放公众意见征询期。

该ETF由Cboe BZX交易所提交申请,计划追踪芝商所CF Ripple-Dollar参考汇率,让投资者无需管理私钥或自托管,即可通过标准经纪账户直接获得XRP敞口。若获批,这将是继比特币(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)之后,美国市场向主流山寨币扩展的重要信号。

多家机构竞相布局,Franklin Templeton申请延期至2025年6月

除WisdomTree外,21Shares、Grayscale、Bitwise、Canary Capital、CoinShares、ProShares、Volatility Shares及Franklin Templeton等机构也已提交了现货XRP ETF申请。其中,Franklin Templeton的申请同样通过Cboe BZX递交,但SEC已于近期将决策截止日期延长至2025年6月17日(依据Section 19(b)(2)条款),以便进行更充分评估。目前,多数申请仍处于初步阶段,尚未提交必要的19b-4表格。

预测市场Polymarket的数据显示,市场对2025年内美国批准XRP ETF的乐观情绪高涨,概率已攀升至83%。若最终获批,美国将成为全球第二个推出XRP ETF的国家,此前巴西已在B3证券交易所上线了XRP HASH CI ETF(代码XRPH11)。不过,由于巴西本地金融市场规模有限,该ETF对XRP价格的影响微乎其微。

XRP价格分析:短期承压,2.50美元为关键阻力

截至发稿,XRP报2.31美元,日内下跌0.5%,过去一周跌幅接近2%。技术面上,代币的首要目标是重新收复2.50美元阻力位,这被视为进一步向上突破至新高的关键门槛。市场参与者正密切关注SEC审查进展及整体加密货币市场情绪变化。

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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