TwoEyes boosts STRC short to $1.54 million as Strategy-related prediction record shows 81.3% win rate

News Editor

2026-09-22 02:53:41

TradingBeats data showed that cross-platform trader TwoEyes added 5,514.8 STRC short contracts, lifting the position from 10,100 contracts to 15,600 contracts, a roughly 54.6% increase. The newly added trade carried a notional value of about $545,000, while the full short position was valued at about $1.5447 million at the snapshot, showing an unrealized loss of around $7,232. On Polymarket, TwoEyes still held about 16,800 "Yes" shares on the market predicting Strategy would be removed from the MSCI index before year-end. The average entry implied a 79.16% probability, versus an 84.5% market probability at the time of the snapshot. That position was worth about $14,200, with a paper gain of roughly $899, and no increase or decrease was seen over the past 24 hours. Based on combined closed-position records tied to Strategy-related themes, TwoEyes has traded 16 markets, with 13 wins and 3 losses, for a win ratio of about 81.3% and cumulative realized profit of about $165,500.

On Sept. 22, BlockBeats reported, citing TradingBeats monitoring, that cross-platform trader TwoEyes (X: two_gifts_) added 5,514.8 STRC short contracts, with the new trade carrying notional value of about $545,000.

That lifted the STRC short position from 10,100 contracts to 15,600 contracts, an increase of about 54.6%. At the snapshot, the position’s notional value stood at about $1.5447 million, with an unrealized loss of roughly $7,232.

Polymarket position unchanged over the past 24 hours

On Polymarket, TwoEyes still held about 16,800 "Yes" shares in the market on whether Strategy would be removed from the MSCI index before the end of the year. The average cost implied a 79.16% probability, while the market probability at the snapshot was 84.5%.

That position was valued at about $14,200 and showed a paper profit of around $899. No increase or decrease in that prediction position was observed in the past 24 hours.

Track record in Strategy-related prediction trades

According to the data cited by BlockBeats, TwoEyes has previously made multiple Strategy-related prediction trades. Based on combined statistics from closed positions, the trader participated in 16 related markets, with 13 wins and 3 losses. The share of profitable markets was about 81.3%, and cumulative realized profit totaled about $165,500.

The trader’s Hyperliquid address is 0xf3dcaeb909d3d17318c0908a1ec0ca31321e1672.

BlockBeats also referenced an earlier report saying prediction market trader TwoEyes had built on-chain short exposure and increased short positions tied to 1.4 million BTC and Strategy-linked assets.

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.

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