A Polymarket trader tracked by TradingBeats, formerly Hyperinsight, placed five consecutive Yes bets on interest-rate cuts within roughly 130 seconds on Aug. 28, according to the monitor. The positions covered a 25-basis-point cut in September, at least a 50-basis-point cut in September, a 25-basis-point cut in October, exactly one cut in 2026, and any cut before December. The five trades totaled about $238.9, with entry probabilities of roughly 1.4%, 0.4%, 3.9%, 9.0%, and 12.0%, respectively. TradingBeats identified the wallet as Polymarket trader fafafafafafafafsadasdq. Across all rate-related prediction positions, the trader’s cost basis stood at about $5,189.7, with a current value of around $4,214.8 and an unrealized loss of roughly $974.9. The largest prediction-market holding was a Yes position on a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve cut in September, totaling about 119,600 shares at an average entry probability near 1.59%, with about $1,909.6 invested. At the same time, an associated Hyperliquid address, 0xe8e4, remained 50x isolated short 268.7 SP500 contracts. That position was valued at about $2.076 million, with an average entry at 7,667.5, a current price near 7,724.1, and an unrealized loss of about $15,200. Its liquidation price was 7,771.1, only 47.0 points, or about 0.61%, above the current level. The report also noted that Christopher Waller is scheduled to deliver a Jackson Hole-themed speech at 22:00 Beijing time, according to the Federal Reserve’s official calendar.
BlockBeats reported on Aug. 28 that, according to TradingBeats, formerly Hyperinsight, Polymarket trader fafafafafafafafsadasdq executed five consecutive Yes purchases between 14:00 and 14:02.
The bets covered a 25-basis-point rate cut in September, at least a 50-basis-point cut in September, a 25-basis-point cut in October, exactly one rate cut in 2026, and any rate cut before December. The entry probabilities were about 1.4%, 0.4%, 3.9%, 9.0%, and 12.0%, respectively. All five trades were completed within roughly 130 seconds, with total capital deployed of about $238.9.
TradingBeats said the trader’s total cost basis across all rate-related prediction positions was about $5,189.7. The current value was around $4,214.8, leaving an unrealized loss of roughly $974.9.
The trader’s largest prediction-market position was the Yes side of a September Federal Reserve 25-basis-point cut. That holding amounted to about 119,600 shares, with an average entry probability near 1.59% and cumulative spending of about $1,909.6.
At the same time, an associated Hyperliquid address, 0xe8e4, was still running a 50x isolated short on 268.7 SP500 contracts. The position value was about $2.076 million, with an average entry price of 7,667.5. The current price was about 7,724.1, and the unrealized loss stood near $15,200.
The position’s liquidation price was 7,771.1, just 47.0 points, or about 0.61%, away from the current market level. On the event side, Waller is scheduled to give a Jackson Hole-themed speech at 22:00 Beijing time tonight, and the appearance is listed on the Federal Reserve’s official calendar.
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