XRP is trading at $1.14, down 68% from its 2025 peak. The $1.00 level is widely treated as a psychological line for the market, and a failure to hold it could put the next support zone into focus. Over the past five years, XRP has logged four separate drops of more than 40% within six-month stretches. The current six-month decline stands at 46%, which fits that historical pattern.
Technical pressure remains in place below former support
Technical analyst ChartNerd said prior XRP bear cycles usually lasted between 400 and 790 days, with corrections ranging from 85% to 96%. In his reading, the present downturn has lasted nearly 350 days, while the pullback from the July 2025 peak has reached 71%. Based on past cycles, he argued that both the duration and severity of declines have been shrinking over time, pointing to a possible bottom in the $0.70 to $0.90 range before the end of the year.
The market has also lost the $1.27 level, which previously acted as support and now appears to be resistance during rebound attempts. When XRP briefly recovered toward $1.14, trading volume fell 44%, a sign that buyer participation stayed limited. Momentum indicators remain soft: the 14-period RSI has slipped below 31, the weekly MACD is still under the zero line, Aroon Down is at 85.71%, and Aroon Up stands at 35.71%. The 200-period moving average is at $1.6179. If XRP closes below $1.10, the market could quickly start testing $1.09 and even levels under $1.00.
Analysts shift attention to the $0.90 zone
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez identified $0.90 as the main level to monitor. In comments shared on June 7, he said a move into that area could open an attractive long-term accumulation window. That view lines up with the broader market idea that the $0.90 to $1.00 band may serve as an accumulation range.
The price map in the report is clear: XRP’s all-time high is listed at $3.65, the current price at $1.14, broken support at $1.27, and the key watch zone at $0.90 to $1.00.
On-chain data shows accumulation signs and weaker tokenized asset activity
On-chain data presents a mixed picture rather than a single trend. More than 25 million XRP have recently been withdrawn from centralized exchanges, a move often read as accumulation. Transfers to Binance fell to their lowest level in 2026, while the number of large investor wallets climbed to a record 332,230.
At the same time, tokenized asset activity on XRPL has slowed. Over the last 30 days, tokenized asset transfer volume dropped 59% to $54.1 million. The total market size of tokenized assets on XRPL fell 11% to $384.5 million, leaving the network’s share of the wider tokenized asset market just above 1%. In contrast, stablecoin transaction volume on XRPL jumped 118% to $4.5 billion, and the number of RWA participants on the network rose 275% to 105 entities. The next macro event flagged for the market is the release of U.S. CPI data on June 10, 2026.