XRP is trading around $1.18 to $1.20, where analyst Ali Charts said the token has printed a TD Sequential buy signal on the three-day chart and formed a symmetrical triangle. That setup suggests a possible 14% move once price breaks out. The chart looks stronger. On-chain positioning tells a different story.
Three-day signal and triangle pattern put focus on the next breakout
According to Ali Charts, similar high-timeframe TD Sequential signals have previously been followed by rebounds lasting between one and four candlesticks. Still, the analyst cautioned that the signal may only point to temporary relief after a period of price compression, rather than a full trend reversal. That makes confirmation from broader network activity especially important.
The symmetrical triangle now sits at the center of the XRP setup. As the range tightens, traders are watching for a directional break that could quickly expand volatility. Based on the analyst’s reading of the pattern, the projected move after a breakout is about 14%.
Whale activity drops 57.3% while large holders keep reducing exposure
Technical indicators improved, but large holders did not appear to follow that shift. Ali Charts said overall whale activity on the XRP network has fallen 57.3%. The whales that are still active have continued to cut exposure instead of absorbing supply.
Over the past week, those large holders distributed roughly 60 million XRP. In practical terms, that means some of the biggest participants have been selling into the market even as a buy signal emerged on the chart. Ali Charts also said a more attractive accumulation zone sits near $0.90, a level that aligns with a rising trendline that has acted as support for about eight years.
Holder count rises to 7.91 million as $1.14 and $1.28 define the range
Santiment data showed a split between price action and network growth. XRP climbed to nearly $2.40 in early January 2026, then came under heavy selling pressure and moved lower through February. Around February 8, trading volume spiked as the token dropped toward $1.20, pointing to a sharp round of market repositioning.
Even with that pullback, the number of XRP holders kept rising over the last six months, increasing from about 7.35 million to 7.91 million. Santiment said the 50-day moving average is near $1.14, while the 200-day moving average remains around $1.28. XRP is still trading below that longer-term average, and volume has gradually declined since February. On that basis, $1.14 stands as immediate support and $1.28 is the first major resistance level.