Polymarket trader r1ch4rd sits on a 74.9% CLARITY loss as Hyperliquid comeback turns into nine straight wins
Data tracked by TradingBeats, formerly Hyperinsight, shows that Polymarket trader r1ch4rd is carrying a steep unrealized loss on a long-running CLARITY Act prediction while posting a sharply improved run in perpetual futures on Hyperliquid. Since June 3, the trader has built a position betting that the CLARITY bill will be signed into law in 2026, making 19 buys for roughly 33,400 Yes shares at a total cost of about $19,300 and an average entry probability of 57.83%. As of publication, the market-implied probability had dropped to 14.5%, leaving the position down about $14,500, or 74.9%, with no shares sold.
At the same time, the same address, identified on Hyperliquid as 0xe60d, has staged a strong return after stepping away from trading for about 56 days following losses. From the first prediction bet through June 27, the account had posted around $305,500 in net losses in derivatives, mainly from NEAR, ZEC and an initial ETH long. After returning on Aug. 22, r1ch4rd completed nine trades over the past six days, all profitable, for total gains of about $482,400. That included roughly $473,500 from eight ETH long and short trades and $8,897 from one BTC short. The largest single gain came from a 2,450 ETH long opened between Aug. 24 and 25, which earned about $163,600.
