Bitcoin2026-10-04 06:43:50Trader Killa says post-midterm de-risking may offer a better point to consider BTC hedgesWell-known trader Killa said he does not expect Bitcoin to set a fresh low and is still holding a long position. In his view, the more relevant risk window may come after the U.S. midterm elections, when parts of the market could shift into de-risking mode. That is why he does not see this as the right time to open hedge shorts in advance. Killa also pointed to a historical pattern: in every U.S. midterm election cycle, Bitcoin’s performance after the election has been relatively weak. Even so, he argued that traders should not short solely on the basis of that cycle history. If Bitcoin continues to rise before the vote, he said, traders can wait until the election draws closer and then decide whether to act based on price action at that time. For now, his preferred approach is to keep long exposure, watch how the market reacts around the midterm election, and only then reassess whether hedge shorts make sense.140
Bitcoin2026-10-04 06:42:43Darkfost says Bitcoin volatility around the power-law trendline has narrowed over the past decadeCrypto analyst Darkfost said Bitcoin’s price swings around its "Power Law" trendline have been shrinking over the past 10 years, pointing to tighter market-cycle behavior. According to the figures he shared, the oscillator’s peak fell from +169 in 2018 to +102 in 2025, while the standard deviation of its daily change dropped from 4.81 to 2.47, a decline of about 49%. Darkfost added that the oscillator was at +34.5 at the time of the post, with Bitcoin priced at about $84,700. Based on the model parameters for that day, an oscillator reading of +100 would correspond to a Bitcoin price of roughly $157,800, or about 86% above the current level. He also said $157,800 should not be treated as a fixed target. Instead, he described it as a reference level derived from the current regression parameters. If the power-law trendline keeps rising, that reference price would move higher as well.150
Bitcoin2026-10-04 06:50:46Trader Killa says Bitcoin is unlikely to make a new low and keeps long exposureTrader Killa said he does not expect Bitcoin to set another lower low and is still holding a long position. At the same time, he warned that some de-risking could still emerge after the U.S. midterm elections, which in his view makes this an unsuitable moment to open hedge shorts in advance. Killa pointed to past U.S. midterm election cycles, saying Bitcoin has historically shown weaker performance after the vote. Even so, he argued that traders should not short purely on the basis of that pattern. If Bitcoin continues to rise before the election, he said market participants can wait until the event draws closer and then decide whether to act based on price action at that time. For now, his preferred approach is to keep long exposure, watch how the market reacts around the election window, and only then consider whether hedge shorts are needed.120
Tether2026-10-04 03:18:57Tether-backed Utexo to launch RGB-based USDT on Bitcoin at month-endTether-backed infrastructure project Utexo plans to roll out USDT on the Bitcoin blockchain by the end of this month, according to BlockTempo. The token will use the RGB protocol, a client-side validation system that keeps transfer details off Bitcoin’s public ledger. Utexo says the setup will support private USDT transfers, direct BTC-to-USDT swaps, and bitcoin-backed lending using native BTC as collateral. The report says this marks USDT’s return to the Bitcoin ecosystem for the first time since its 2014 debut in the Omni era. Utexo, founded in 2025, said it has received a commercial license from Tether to use the USDT trademark and issue the token on Bitcoin for exchanges, wallets, and payment firms. Co-founder Viktor Ihnatiuk confirmed the authorization to CoinDesk on Telegram, while Tether CTO Paolo Ardoino posted on X in support of the move. Utexo also outlined a compliance model based on a blacklist of sanctioned or illicit UTXOs rather than the address-freezing method used on Ethereum. After the Bitcoin launch, the company’s next step is to extend USDT to the Lightning Network for near-zero-fee, near-instant settlement inside the Bitcoin ecosystem.30
whale2026-10-04 03:14:51Whale Opens $10.27 Million Leveraged BTC Long on Hyperliquid at $84,918.9A whale address has opened its first position on Hyperliquid, placing a leveraged bet on a Bitcoin rebound, according to on-chain analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa). The address, 0x799…15f4c, opened a 121.23 BTC long earlier on Oct. 4 with 7x leverage. The position was valued at about $10.27 million at entry. Ai Yi said the average entry price was $84,918.9. At the time of the update, the position was showing an unrealized loss of about $20,000. The post described the trade as the address’s first position opened on Hyperliquid. No additional details were provided in the source about the trader’s broader portfolio, liquidation level, or whether the position had been adjusted after entry.50
Hyperliquid2026-10-04 03:12:49Address opens first Hyperliquid position with 7x leveraged long on 121.23 BTCChainCatcher reported that on-chain analyst @ai_9684xtpa tracked an address opening its first position on Hyperliquid, taking a 7x leveraged long on 121.23 BTC. The position was valued at $10.27 million at entry. Data shared by the analyst showed the entry price at $84,918.9, with the position currently sitting on a $20,000 loss. No further details about the address were disclosed in the update. The report focused on the size of the trade, the leverage used, and the unrealized loss at the time of monitoring.50
Robert Kiyosa2026-10-04 02:55:52Robert Kiyosaki says Bitcoin, gold and silver are financial preparedness assetsRobert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, said holding Bitcoin, gold and silver is a form of financial preparation for economic problems, likening the approach to buying car insurance. He said he only wants to hold money that governments cannot print. Kiyosaki also disclosed that he owns oil wells and said the government is a major buyer of oil, which can generate income for him. He added that assets he had previously listed also include Ether, rental apartments and U.S. oil wells. The update was cited by Odaily, which referenced Bitcoin.com News.30
Bitcoin2026-10-04 02:13:54Murphy says rising BTC chip concentration points to bigger volatility in the next one to two monthsAnalyst Murphy said Bitcoin has posted consecutive daily doji candles, with rare upper and lower wick swings showing up on the chart. He pointed to data showing that on Aug. 1, two chip distribution bars formed in the $62,000-$63,000 range, totaling about 1.68 million BTC, with chip concentration at 12.9%. On Oct. 3, another two prominent bars appeared in the $83,000-$84,000 range, totaling about 1.52 million BTC, while concentration had risen to 12%. Murphy said the upper warning zone is now close. He also noted that after a similar data combination appeared on Aug. 1, BTC moved from $60,000 to $80,000 in just 17 days. In his view, heavier chip accumulation and rising concentration do not point to a confirmed direction on their own, but they do suggest that the probability of amplified volatility is increasing. He expects the market could see a major move within as little as one month, or as long as two months.20
