macro asset

Bitcoin
2026-07-03 23:30:14

Standard Chartered Analyst Says Bitcoin’s $120K Target May Be Too Low as Capital Flows Reshape the Rally

Geoffrey Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets at Standard Chartered, has revised the tone of his bitcoin outlook in a more bullish direction, arguing that his earlier projection of $120,000 for Q2 2025 may now be too conservative. The change comes as bitcoin trades close to the $100,000 level, with a reported daily gain of more than 3% to $99,293.54, suggesting that price appreciation is happening faster than he previously expected. Kendrick argues that the dominant narrative around bitcoin has shifted multiple times: first, it was viewed largely as a risk asset moving alongside broader speculative markets; then it became a vehicle for strategic reallocation away from U.S. assets; now, in his view, the market is being driven primarily by capital flows. He specifically highlighted $5.3 billion in inflows into U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs over the past three weeks as evidence of accelerating institutional demand. To support this revised stance, Kendrick pointed to major examples including Strategy increasing its bitcoin purchases, the Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund holding BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF IBIT, and reports that the Swiss National Bank holds shares of MSTR, often treated by markets as a leveraged bitcoin proxy. Taken together, these developments strengthen the case that bitcoin is evolving from a volatile speculative asset into a macro asset with a growing role in global portfolios. Under that framework, Kendrick’s prior $120,000 target may become only an intermediate milestone, while his year-end forecast of $200,000 remains in focus.

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