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U.S. utilities may cut power to data centers during peak demand as AI strains the grid
US Treasuries
2026-10-08 11:38:12

Options Traders Bet on a Reversal in Long-Term Rates, With TLT and Utilities in Focus

A clear directional trade is building in the U.S. options market as some investors position for a sharp drop in long-term interest rates. Recent data show rising call option volume in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) and the Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF, two assets that have been pressured by the surge in long-dated Treasury yields since September. According to Dow Jones Market Data, the pickup in bullish options activity points to growing expectations that the move higher in long-end yields may be nearing a turn. Interactive Brokers chief strategist Steve Sosnick said heavier call volume usually signals a bullish view on the underlying asset. In TLT’s case, that message is relatively straightforward: traders are turning more constructive on long-duration Treasuries and effectively betting on lower long-term yields. As of publication, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield stood at 5.335%, while the 30-year yield reached 5.713%, both at multi-decade highs. The 2-year yield was 4.814%. The utilities trade is less clean. Sosnick said bullish positioning in the sector may reflect not only rate-cut expectations but also demand tied to AI infrastructure. He pointed to the recent jump in Constellation Energy shares after the company reached a nuclear power supply agreement with Alphabet, with Constellation accounting for 7.6% of the utilities ETF as of Tuesday.

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Options Traders Bet on a Reversal in Long-Term Rates, With TLT and Utilities in Focus
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