全球AI牛市暗藏巨大的杠杆风险,美股融资余额达到1.4万亿美元的历史峰值,杠杆ETF规模在近两个月翻倍至2200亿美元。韩国KOSPI受高杠杆与集中持仓影响剧烈震荡并触发熔断。巴克莱与摩根士丹利警告,杠杆衍生品可能引发负向螺旋式去杠杆,进一步放大市场跌幅。
Leverage Risk Shadows the AI Bull Rally
Behind the global AI bull market lies staggering leverage risks. US stock margin debt has surged to a record $1.4 trillion, while leveraged ETF assets have doubled to $220 billion in the past two months. In South Korea, the KOSPI index experienced severe volatility and triggered a circuit breaker due to high leverage and concentrated positions. Both Barclays and Morgan Stanley have warned that leveraged derivatives could trigger a negative spiral of deleveraging, amplifying market declines.
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