CryptoQuant analyst flags first warning sign in altcoin rally as momentum may be fading

CryptoQuant analyst flags first warning sign in altcoin rally as momentum may be fading

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News Editor
2026-09-27 00:25:41
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost said on Sept. 27 that on-chain data suggests the altcoin market is entering a more critical phase after a sharp wave of capital inflows. Since June 2026, Total2, the metric tracking total altcoin market capitalization including ETH, has absorbed more than $371 billion, marking 45% growth in just a few months. The shift has also shown up in Binance-listed altcoins, where the share trading below the 200-day moving average fell from about 80% in August to 13% now, implying that 87% have moved back into an upward momentum phase. At the same time, altcoin deposits to exchanges have climbed to levels not seen since October 2025, when the previous market cycle was at its top. Weekly average deposit transactions have exceeded 22,700 on Binance, more than 8,300 on Coinbase, and roughly 32,000 across other trading platforms combined. Darkfost added that current inflows are still relatively limited compared with the early stage of the last bull market, but said the signals warrant close attention, especially as Total2’s RSI has recently started to show bearish divergence.

On Sept. 27, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost said on-chain data shows the altcoin market may be moving into a more critical stage.

According to Darkfost, altcoins have recently attracted heavy capital inflows. Since June 2026, Total2, which tracks total altcoin market capitalization including ETH, has absorbed more than $371 billion, rising 45% in a matter of months.

More Binance-listed altcoins have moved above the 200-day average

Darkfost said the surge in demand is also visible in the number of Binance-listed altcoins trading above their 200-day moving average, a widely watched trend indicator.

In August this year, about 80% of altcoins on Binance were still trading below the 200-day moving average. That share has now dropped to 13%. By the same measure, 87% of altcoins on the exchange have reversed their earlier trend and entered an upward momentum phase.

He said the shift points to a degree of frenzy in the altcoin market. Based on historical patterns, however, rallies of this kind often do not last and can gradually lose strength.

Exchange deposits hit the highest level since October 2025

Darkfost also pointed to rising altcoin deposits to trading platforms. He said deposits have climbed to levels not seen since October 2025, a period that coincided with the top of the previous market cycle.

Weekly average deposit transactions have exceeded 22,700 on Binance, more than 8,300 on Coinbase, and about 32,000 across other trading platforms combined.

Even so, he noted that the current scale of altcoin inflows to exchanges remains relatively limited compared with the early phase of the previous bull market.

Total2 RSI shows bearish divergence

Darkfost said the signals still deserve close monitoring. In particular, Total2’s RSI has recently started to show bearish divergence, adding to signs that upside momentum in the altcoin market may be weakening.

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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