The altcoin market has dropped 45% over the past 13 months, marking one of the longest distribution phases in recent memory. Even so, analysts say selling pressure is beginning to ease, especially among infrastructure-related tokens whose fundamentals appear stronger than their current market prices imply.
Weak prices, but signs of stabilization are emerging
According to the analysis, the recent decline has been broad, but not all altcoins are equally fragile. Lower volatility and steadier holder distribution suggest that some assets may be moving into accumulation phases. In that setting, a change in market structure could allow certain tokens to recover more than 50% even without a full trend reversal across the wider market.
ASTER, ARB, APTOS, and SEI stand out
Aster (ASTER) is holding within an accumulation range after an extended decline, with reduced volatility and a more stable holder base. Arbitrum (ARB) continues to show strong network fundamentals despite weak price action, which could support a rebound if capital rotates back into Layer-2 assets. Aptos (APTOS) is also highlighted for continued developer growth during a compressed market environment, with analysts pointing to potential for a roughly 50% recovery.
Sei (SEI) is trading near structural support, and its historical volatility profile suggests a possible rebound in the 50% to 70% range if sentiment improves. By contrast, Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) is described as an example of a meme asset valuation reset, carrying higher downside risk than tokens backed by stronger infrastructure narratives.
Focus shifts to fundamentals
Overall, the analysis does not argue that the altcoin market has fully turned around. Instead, it highlights two key developments: easing sell pressure and relative resilience in project fundamentals. Until a broader market reversal becomes clear, investors may remain more selective, favoring tokens with developer activity, network utility, and stronger ecosystem positioning over purely sentiment-driven assets.