Binance Founder CZ Says 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Is Over, Predicts Potential Supercycle

Binance Founder CZ Says 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Is Over, Predicts Potential Supercycle

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News Editor 01
2026-07-02 19:00:14
At the Bitcoin MENA conference, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) shared his views on Bitcoin's evolving role. He noted that this cycle shows significantly higher institutional participation compared to previous ones, driven by Bitcoin ETFs and corporate treasury reserves. CZ argued that the traditional 4-year cycle may be disrupted by macroeconomic policies such as Fed rate cuts and quantitative easing, and even hinted at a possible 'supercycle.' He also recalled his personal journey from a Chinese farm to U.S. regulatory scrutiny and a presidential pardon by Donald Trump, while emphasizing that retail holders remain the majority. CZ highlighted the importance of stablecoins and crypto cards for adoption, and discussed his education platform Giggle Academy. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading near $93,000.
BitcoinCZSupercycleInstitutional AdoptionFour-Year CycleTrump PardonStablecoinsBitcoin MENA Conference

Bitcoin's Institutional Wave

At the Bitcoin MENA conference, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) joined BTC Inc CEO Brandon Green to discuss the shifting nature of Bitcoin adoption cycles. CZ pointed out that previous bull runs were dominated by retail investors, but this cycle is characterized by significant institutional engagement. From Bitcoin ETFs to corporate strategic reserves, Wall Street and large financial institutions are entering the crypto ecosystem. 'We have seen more institutions come in than probably previous cycles,' CZ said. He argued that this bridging between grassroots movements and institutional finance positions Bitcoin for broader integration into the global financial system.

The conversation highlighted the inherent unpredictability of Bitcoin’s adoption path. CZ sees potential for growth through integration with traditional payment infrastructure. Tools like crypto cards, where users pay in cryptocurrency but merchants receive fiat, allow demand to grow on the user side and lay the groundwork for more widespread adoption. Stablecoins, he noted, will also play a key role in facilitating transactions without undermining Bitcoin’s investment appeal.

CZ’s Take on the 4-Year Cycle: Outdated?

CZ offered perspective on how macroeconomic conditions and policy shifts can influence Bitcoin’s trajectory. While the four-year cycle has long guided expectations for bull and bear markets, he suggested that external forces, including government monetary policies, may now have equal or greater influence. CZ even said that bitcoin and crypto may be entering a 'super cycle.' He pointed to potential U.S. rate cuts and quantitative easing as factors that could drive liquidity into crypto markets, suggesting the next cycle could diverge from historical patterns.

Institutionalization of Bitcoin, however, does not replace the grassroots origins of the network. CZ emphasized that retail holders remain the majority and that the international nature of Bitcoin is integral to its identity. He described the institutional participation as complementary, not transformative, to the global movement that has propelled Bitcoin from a niche technology to a widely recognized asset class.

CZ’s Personal Journey and Ongoing Efforts

Throughout the discussion, CZ reflected on his personal journey, from 'growing up on a farm in China' to serving jail time, all while being intertwined closely with Bitcoin’s evolution. He shared his experiences facing U.S. regulatory scrutiny, including potential imprisonment, and his eventual pardon by President Trump. The pardon drew criticism from Democrats like Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who called it corruption, while the Trump administration framed it as correcting an 'overreach' by the Biden administration against crypto.

Even as he stepped back from day-to-day operations at Binance, CZ has remained engaged in advancing the industry. He has focused on advising governments on how to regulate crypto. Beyond regulation, CZ has turned attention to education and innovation. He founded Giggle Academy, a free, gamified, digital education platform that now reaches approximately 90,000 children, emphasizing accessibility and positive societal impact. CZ’s reflections on legacy and impact returned repeatedly to Bitcoin. While he admires other industry figures, like Michael Saylor, for their single-minded focus on Bitcoin, CZ sees his own role as complementary: attempting to foster innovation across multiple chains while championing Bitcoin’s primacy. 'Bitcoin itself is great. It is the global reserve currency in crypto, probably soon in the world,' he said. In closing, CZ reiterated that his goal remains clear: driving adoption and awareness of crypto worldwide. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is skyrocketing towards $93,000.

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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