Bitcoin Historical Indicator Flashes Bottom Signal, Trader Doctor Profit Reveals Accumulation Trades

Bitcoin Historical Indicator Flashes Bottom Signal, Trader Doctor Profit Reveals Accumulation Trades

N
News Editor
2026-08-12 08:44:07
Doctor Profit, a well-known trader, says a historical Bitcoin indicator is signaling that the bottom has either formed or is very close. He points to the same pattern seen in 2015, 2019 and 2022, when bear-market bottoms began as the realized price of 3-to-6-month holders fell below the realized price of 1-to-2-year holders. That cross suggests newer buyers are capitulating at a loss, transferring coins to long-term holders. The indicator is now appearing for the fourth time, with BTC trading below the average cost of both holder groups. However, history shows the signal is rarely followed by an immediate reversal; Bitcoin has typically needed several months of sideways movement to complete the bottom. Doctor Profit sees the current phase as both bear-market bottom formation and a long-term accumulation window. He said he has been buying BTC in the $54,000-$64,000 range over the past few weeks and continues to build his position in 5% increments.
Doctor Profit, a well-known crypto trader, said a historical Bitcoin indicator is flashing a signal that the bottom has already formed or is very close. In all three prior bear markets — 2015, 2019 and 2022 — the final bottom-building stage began when the realized price of coins held by 3-to-6-month holders crossed below the realized price of coins held by 1-to-2-year holders. According to Doctor Profit, this means newer buyers are capitulating and selling at a loss, while Bitcoin gradually shifts into the hands of longer-term holders. The same cross is now happening for a fourth time, and BTC's price sits below both groups' average cost basis. But historically, the signal has not produced an immediate reversal. Bitcoin usually needs several more months of sideways trading to complete the bottoming process, which makes the current phase a potential long-term accumulation zone. Doctor Profit believes the market is now in the bear-market bottom formation and long-term accumulation stage. The trader reported buying BTC in batches between $54,000 and $64,000 over the past few weeks, and plans to keep adding in 5% position increments.
This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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