Bitcoin ownership is being reshaped
Bitcoin is going through a fresh redistribution of ownership. The central development is that ETF outflows remain persistent, putting part of institutional positioning under unrealized loss pressure and contributing to selling from Wall Street-linked capital. At the same time, on-chain data points to net buying from long-term holders and smaller wallets, which are beginning to absorb supply released into the market.
Institutional selling is being met by on-chain accumulation
This is not a one-sided retreat. Instead, the market currently reflects two parallel forces. On one side, institutional money is reducing exposure. On the other, older wallets and smaller holders are stepping in to take the opposite side of that flow. That implies a transfer of coins from shorter-horizon, capital-market-driven participants to patient on-chain holders. Structurally, such a shift can help digest selling pressure, even if the process takes time and does not immediately translate into a clean reversal.
Bottom formation depends on selling pressure and accumulation persistence
At this stage, Bitcoin is showing some characteristics often associated with a bottoming process, but confirmation still depends on two conditions. First, institutional selling needs to slow materially. Second, accumulation by long-term holders and smaller wallets needs to persist rather than fade after an initial response. If selling pressure remains elevated, or if on-chain buyers fail to keep absorbing supply, the market may continue to trade in a choppy range instead of establishing a clear floor.
Source: MarsBit. Original report: https://news.marsbit.co/20260703195408872208.html.

