Bitcoin’s weekly RSI flashes a bullish divergence as traders reassess whether the bear trend is over

Bitcoin’s weekly RSI flashes a bullish divergence as traders reassess whether the bear trend is over

N
News Editor
2026-08-25 11:19:45
Bitcoin jumped about 25% last week and briefly moved above $80,000, but the market remains split on what the rebound means for the broader trend. Technical readings are drawing fresh attention. Bitcoin’s weekly RSI has risen to 58.3, its highest level since the all-time high of $126,200 set in October 2025, and it is now showing a bullish divergence similar to the pattern seen near the 2022 bear-market bottom: price had continued to print lower lows while weekly RSI formed higher lows. Real Vision chief crypto analyst Jamie Coutts said weekly bullish divergences can be useful in identifying long-term trend shifts and cycle turning points, adding that similar signals in the past were followed by further price gains. At the same time, short-term conditions look stretched. Bitcoin’s daily RSI has climbed to 82.93, the highest reading since November 2024, leading some traders to watch for a pullback. Other analysts argue that in past bull markets, RSI staying above 70 for extended periods was not unusual. Bitcoin’s two-month Stochastic RSI has also posted an anticipated bullish crossover, though its latest low only reached 4.81 rather than falling close to zero as seen before some historical bear-market bottoms.

Bitcoin rebounded about 25% last week and briefly rose above $80,000, yet the market is still divided over the direction of the current trend, according to a report published by BlockBeats on Aug. 25.

Technical data has become a key focus. Bitcoin’s weekly Relative Strength Index, or RSI, has climbed to 58.3, its highest level since the cryptocurrency set an all-time high of $126,200 in October 2025. The indicator is also showing a bullish divergence that resembles the setup seen near the 2022 bear-market bottom: price had continued to make lower lows, while the weekly RSI formed higher lows.

Weekly chart signal puts the long-term trend back under review

Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at Real Vision, said bullish divergences on the weekly timeframe carry substantial value when assessing long-term trends and cycle turning points. He said similar signals in the past were followed by further price gains.

That has prompted some market participants to reassess whether the broader bear trend may be nearing an end. Even so, the latest rebound has not produced a consensus view.

Short-term indicators are already running hot

At the daily level, momentum looks more stretched. Bitcoin’s daily RSI has risen to 82.93, the highest reading since November 2024. That has led some traders to stay alert to the risk of a short-term pullback.

Others argue that this alone does not invalidate the advance. In past bull-market phases, RSI remaining above the 70 overbought threshold for an extended period was not unusual.

Two-month Stochastic RSI posts a bullish crossover, but doubts remain

Beyond the weekly RSI pattern, Bitcoin’s two-month Stochastic RSI has recently produced the anticipated bullish crossover that is often viewed as a potential signal of a trend reversal.

Still, the latest low in that indicator only fell to 4.81. It did not drop to near-zero levels in the way some historical signals did before prior bear-market bottoms. For that reason, the market is still watching to see whether this rebound truly marks the formal end of the broader macro bear market.

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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