Strategist says September payroll data supports a Fed pause in October

Strategist says September payroll data supports a Fed pause in October

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News Editor
2026-10-02 13:20:13
Annex Wealth Management Chief Economist and Strategist Brian Jacobsen said the U.S. labor market looks weaker than initially believed, pointing to revised and slowing employment data. He noted that July payroll figures were revised down to negative growth, while August posted a solid rebound that lost momentum in September, when only 29,000 jobs were added. Jacobsen also said the employment diffusion index fell back below 50, a sign that job gains were losing breadth. He added that while Federal Reserve Chair Waller had previously been concerned about the breadth of inflation, the focus may now have to shift to the lack of breadth in the labor market. Based on that set of data, Jacobsen said the September nonfarm payroll report supports the case for the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady in October. The remarks were cited by BlockBeats, referencing Jin10.

BlockBeats reported on Oct. 2 that Annex Wealth Management Chief Economist and Strategist Brian Jacobsen said the U.S. labor market was not as strong as initially thought.

Jacobsen said July data was revised down to negative growth. August showed a decent rebound, but that momentum stopped in September, with only 29,000 jobs added. The employment diffusion index also fell back below 50.

He added that Federal Reserve Chair Waller had previously been concerned about the breadth of inflation, but now would have to consider the lack of breadth in the labor market. Jacobsen said the data supports a pause in rate hikes in October.

The report cited Jin10 as the source.

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