NBC News’ latest polling average shows Democrats holding a 52% to 43% advantage over Republicans in voter preference for control of Congress ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, a 9-point lead that marks the widest margin in the current cycle. According to NBC News, the two parties were roughly even in the first weeks after Donald Trump returned to the White House, but support among independent voters has since moved toward a Democratic-controlled Congress. At the same time, support for Trump and for his economic policies has declined. NBC News said the polling average is adjusted to reflect likely voters and is designed to measure whether voters prefer Democratic or Republican control of Congress, without accounting for specific districts or candidates. The outlet also said the average combines public polls that meet its methodology and transparency standards, using weighting to reduce the effect of volatility and outliers in individual surveys. Separately, NBC News said Trump’s approval rating has fallen to its lowest level of his second presidential term.
According to BlockBeats on Sept. 25, NBC News’ latest polling average shows Democrats leading Republicans 52% to 43% in voter preference for control of Congress ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. The 9-point gap is the largest lead recorded in this polling cycle.
Democrats widen their edge in congressional preference
NBC News said the two parties were largely tied in the first weeks after Donald Trump returned to the White House. Since then, independent voters have shown a growing preference for a Democratic-controlled Congress, while support for President Trump and his economic policies has declined.
Average is adjusted to likely voters
NBC News said the polling average is adjusted using a likely-voter standard and is intended to measure whether voters prefer Democratic or Republican control of Congress. It does not account for specific districts or individual candidates.
The outlet said the average combines public polls that meet its methodology and transparency standards, with weighting used to reduce the impact of volatility and outliers in any single survey.
Trump approval falls to second-term low
NBC News also said Trump’s approval rating has dropped to its lowest level of his second presidential term.
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