PPP’s prediction market tracker shows that the Polymarket contract on whether Anthropic will go public by Nov. 15 is now pricing in a 35% chance, up 16% over the past 24 hours. The market resolves to “Yes” only if Anthropic officially lists on a public securities exchange and its shares begin trading by 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Nov. 15. If that does not happen, the outcome is “No.” The rules also state that if Anthropic is acquired before listing by a company that is already publicly traded, the market will immediately resolve to “No.” For settlement, the contract primarily relies on official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant exchanges, including SEC S-1 and 8-A filings, exchange listing confirmations, and Anthropic press releases. Consistent reporting from credible media outlets may also be used as supporting evidence.
PPP’s prediction market tracker shows that the Polymarket contract titled whether Anthropic will IPO by Nov. 15 is now at 35%, up 16% in the past 24 hours.
Under the market’s rules, the contract resolves to “Yes” if Anthropic officially lists on a public securities exchange and opens stock trading by 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Nov. 15. If that does not occur, it resolves to “No.”
If Anthropic is acquired before listing by a company that is already publicly traded, the market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The contract primarily relies on official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchanges for settlement, including U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filings such as S-1 and 8-A, exchange listing confirmations, and official Anthropic press releases. Consistent reporting from credible media outlets may also be used as a basis for resolution.
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