PPP’s prediction-market tracking tool shows that a newly created account on Polymarket took a sizable position in the market asking whether BTC will fall below $45,000 this year. The account, identified as 0x42d150e0171590b28332a61b3f4cfca0a34cdab6, bought nearly $700,000 worth of the “No” side, which means a wager that Bitcoin will not drop to $45,000 this year. The average entry price was 78.3 cents.
The contract uses Binance’s BTC/USDT trading pair as the sole settlement reference. Under the market rules, if the low of any one-minute candle reaches or falls below the specified price at any time between 2:00 p.m. ET on Nov. 24, 2025 and 11:59 p.m. ET on Dec. 31, 2026, the market settles immediately to “Yes.” If that level is never touched before the deadline, the outcome settles to “No.” Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded from settlement.
PPP’s prediction-market tracking tool shows that a new account on Polymarket took a nearly $700,000 position in the market asking whether BTC will fall below $45,000 this year.
The account, 0x42d150e0171590b28332a61b3f4cfca0a34cdab6, bought the “No” side at an average entry price of 78.3 cents, betting that Bitcoin will not drop to $45,000 this year.
The market is settled against Binance’s BTC/USDT trading pair. Under the contract rules, if the low of any one-minute candle reaches or falls below the specified price between 2:00 p.m. ET on Nov. 24, 2025 and 11:59 p.m. ET on Dec. 31, 2026, the market immediately resolves to “Yes.” If that price is never hit by the deadline, it resolves to “No.” Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are not used for settlement.
This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan. Disclaimer:
The market information, project data, and third-party content displayed on this platform are for industry information sharing only and do not constitute any form of investment advice or return commitment.
Cryptocurrency trading carries high risks. Users should fully assess their risk tolerance and make independent decisions. All profits, losses, and legal responsibilities are borne by the users themselves.
