PPP market-tracking data shows that on Polymarket, the contract on whether Jack Lowden will be cast as the next James Bond has dropped to 22%, down 12% over the past 24 hours. The market resolves to "Yes" if the listed actor is officially announced as the next Bond by 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Dec. 31, 2026, and to "No" otherwise. Resolution is based on official information from MGM, though a consensus from other reliable reports may also be used. Reports cited in the update say the final round of auditions for the next Bond took place this month, with roughly five to seven actors still in contention. Lowden had previously been seen as a leading candidate, though the final choice remains undisclosed. Sources also said additional names have joined the field, including Callum Turner, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, and Jonathan Bailey.
PPP market-tracking data shows that on Polymarket, the probability of Jack Lowden being cast as the next 007 James Bond has fallen to 22%, down 12% over the past 24 hours.
How the market will be resolved
Under the contract rules, the outcome will resolve to "Yes" if the actor listed is officially announced as the next James Bond before 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Dec. 31, 2026. If that does not happen, the result will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is official information from MGM, although consensus from other reliable reporting may also be considered.
Final auditions reportedly took place this month
According to the update, the final round of auditions for the next James Bond took place this month, and around five to seven actors are still in contention. Jack Lowden had previously been regarded as one of the frontrunners, though the final selection has not been disclosed.
Sources cited in the report said more actors have entered the 007 shortlist, including Masters of the Air actor Callum Turner, Marvel film star Aaron Taylor-Johnson, and Bridgerton actor Jonathan Bailey.
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