Predict.fun data shows England entering its 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal against Argentina with a slight edge in market pricing. As of publication, the prediction market gave England roughly a 53% chance of advancing, while Argentina stood at about 46%, leaving support nearly even between the two sides. The match is scheduled for early July 16 in Beijing time and renews one of the World Cup’s most discussed rivalries. England and Argentina have previously met at the tournament in 1962, 1966, 1986, 1998, and 2002. While England holds a slight edge in the overall historical record, Argentina won two of the teams’ three prior knockout-stage meetings. England’s only knockout win over Argentina ended with the country’s first World Cup title. Both teams have had difficult paths to the semifinal in this edition: Argentina came through three straight knockout matches that went down to the final moments, eliminating Cape Verde, Egypt, and Switzerland, while England rallied to beat DR Congo and Norway before edging Mexico. The semifinal is a key test for Lionel Messi’s Argentina as it chases a title defense, and a major opening for England to reach its first World Cup final in 60 years.
Predict.fun data showed on July 15 that England will face Argentina in the semifinal of the 2026 FIFA World Cup hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico. As of publication, the prediction market gave England about a 53% chance of advancing, compared with roughly 46% for Argentina, with support for the two sides running close.
Semifinal set for early July 16 Beijing time
The match is scheduled for early July 16 in Beijing time, bringing back one of the World Cup’s classic fixtures: England versus Argentina.
A rivalry with multiple World Cup meetings
The two teams have met at five previous World Cups, in 1962, 1966, 1986, 1998, and 2002, making it one of the tournament’s most talked-about matchups.
England holds a slight edge in the overall historical record. In knockout matches at the World Cup, though, Argentina won two of the sides’ three previous meetings. England’s only knockout victory over Argentina ended with the country lifting the first World Cup title in its history.
Both teams faced difficult runs to the semifinal
Argentina’s route through the knockout stage was tight throughout. It came through three straight matches that lasted until the final moments, eliminating Cape Verde, Egypt, and Switzerland.
England also had to work through difficult games, coming from behind against DR Congo and Norway before narrowly beating Mexico, a run that highlighted the team’s ability to handle pressure.
High stakes on both sides
The semifinal is a key match for Lionel Messi and Argentina as they push to defend their title. For England, it is also a major chance to return to the World Cup final for the first time in 60 years.
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