Data from a predict.fun market tied to Variational’s first day of trading shows traders assigning a 59.7% chance that the project’s fully diluted valuation, or FDV, will reach $1 billion within one day of launch. The same market shows a 79% probability for a $500 million FDV target and 66% for $800 million. Higher targets are priced lower, with the probability of reaching $1.2 billion at 21% and $1.3 billion at 13%. The figures were reported by Odaily and reflect the latest readings shown on the prediction event page at the time of publication.
Odaily reported that data from a predict.fun market for the event tracking whether Variational’s fully diluted valuation would reach specific targets within one day of launch showed a 79% probability of hitting $500 million, a 66% probability of reaching $800 million, and a 59.7% probability of touching $1 billion.
The same event page also showed a 21% probability for a $1.2 billion FDV and a 13% probability for a $1.3 billion FDV.
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