StoneX analyst Mark Palmer explains why it cut MSTR target price to $435

StoneX analyst Mark Palmer explains why it cut MSTR target price to $435

N
News Editor
2026-10-06 21:16:05
Bitcoin Magazine published a video segment featuring StoneX Senior Equity Research Analyst Mark Palmer, who laid out his view on Strategy (MSTR), its funding structure, and the logic behind StoneX’s revised $435 price target. The discussion covered how much the company spent on Stretch buybacks versus Bitcoin purchases, with the program citing $176 million for buybacks and $29 million for Bitcoin. Palmer also said STRC is central to Strategy’s fundraising setup and pointed to a $4.9 billion U.S. dollar reserve as a factor pushing the preferred stock back toward par. The episode also addressed why Strategy is not expected to simply raise the Stretch dividend rate, along with daily dividends, ex-dividend date volatility, June’s sell-off, institutional investors, balance-sheet stress in a Bitcoin treasury model, perpetual preferreds versus convertible notes, and Metaplanet’s U.S. push. The piece was first published by Bitcoin Magazine and credited to Patrick Green.

In a Bitcoin Magazine program, StoneX Senior Equity Research Analyst Mark Palmer discussed Strategy (MSTR), its capital structure, and the reasoning behind StoneX’s decision to lower its price target on the stock to $435.

Discussion centered on Strategy’s funding structure

The program opened with Palmer’s views on Strategy and then moved to the company’s use of capital, including a comparison between Stretch buybacks and Bitcoin purchases. According to the segment notes, Strategy spent $176 million on buying back Stretch, compared with $29 million on Bitcoin purchases.

$4.9 billion reserve and the move back toward par

Palmer said STRC is foundational to Strategy’s fundraising structure. He also said a $4.9 billion U.S. dollar reserve is pushing the preferred stock back toward par. Another section of the discussion addressed why Strategy will not simply raise the Stretch dividend rate.

Topics covered across the episode

The chapter list also included daily dividends and ex-dividend date volatility, June’s Stretch sell-off and institutional investors, where balance-sheet stress appears first in a Bitcoin treasury structure, and a comparison of perpetual preferreds with convertible notes, including Strive’s approach.

The program also touched on U.S. dollar cash, convert paydowns, and Metaplanet’s push in the United States. Its final chapter focused on why StoneX cut its MSTR price target to $435.

Disclaimer and byline

The disclaimer said the views expressed in the show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or affiliated entities. It also said the material is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be treated as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice, nor as a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell securities or other financial instruments.

The post first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and was written by Patrick Green.

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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